Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.212866 0.241868 0.272953 0.308701 0.348626 0.391791 0.441942
2026-02-01 0.171240 0.209487 0.253200 0.306683 0.370170 0.442930 0.532431
2026-02-08 0.141909 0.185164 0.237428 0.304856 0.389129 0.490531 0.621287
2026-02-15 0.119929 0.165848 0.224167 0.303029 0.406149 0.535586 0.709403
2026-02-22 0.106091 0.154563 0.218920 0.309638 0.433047 0.593731 0.817178
2026-03-01 0.092644 0.141748 0.209708 0.309260 0.449697 0.638765 0.910122
2026-03-08 0.081802 0.131020 0.201814 0.309262 0.465961 0.683418 1.004548
2026-03-15 0.072940 0.121966 0.195078 0.309765 0.482230 0.728316 1.101299
2026-03-22 0.066609 0.115926 0.191967 0.314916 0.505051 0.783280 1.214986
2026-03-29 0.061801 0.111666 0.190985 0.322887 0.532196 0.845647 1.342521
2026-04-05 0.056571 0.106053 0.187200 0.325877 0.551498 0.896975 1.455958
2026-04-12 0.052534 0.101976 0.185419 0.331713 0.575319 0.956103 1.583978
2026-04-19 0.049146 0.098810 0.185074 0.340225 0.604607 1.026370 1.734882
2026-04-26 0.044516 0.092838 0.179317 0.339008 0.617645 1.071498 1.848499
2026-05-03 0.040384 0.087302 0.173759 0.337553 0.629969 1.115903 1.963083
2026-05-10 0.036685 0.082158 0.168380 0.335850 0.641531 1.159410 2.078166
2026-05-17 0.034542 0.079874 0.168077 0.343273 0.669452 1.231636 2.244540
2026-05-24 0.031684 0.075760 0.163857 0.342951 0.683278 1.280298 2.373151
2026-05-31 0.029158 0.072045 0.160041 0.343007 0.697625 1.330377 2.506376
2026-06-07 0.026934 0.068718 0.156672 0.343587 0.712836 1.382551 2.645516
2026-06-14 0.025396 0.066761 0.155920 0.349260 0.737959 1.453591 2.821238
2026-06-21 0.024252 0.065583 0.156686 0.358020 0.769491 1.537707 3.024142
2026-06-28 0.022733 0.063322 0.154900 0.361308 0.790371 1.603049 3.195660